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IIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIITTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTT’SSSSSSSSSSSSSS MONDAY!!!!!!!!!!!!!
And you fine folks know what that means. Let’s climb up into the cockpit, put on those helmets with the U on the side, countdown, and blast off into an orange-and-green sky of Miami-Hurricanes-related thoughts inside my mind.
1) I have read CollegeFootballNews.com and Pete Fiutak for over two decades, so I often take what they say with a lot of meaning. They posted their prediction for the Canes the other day. According to CFN, they would set the over/under for Miami’s wins for 2023 at 9.
I can get with that. I think 9 is a fair number, and that’s right around where I would have Miami at. That’s what our friends over at DraftKings also have for the Canes as of today, with -125 odds of over 9 and +105 for under 9. I think Miami absolutely has the talent and the schedule to reach double digit wins for just the second time since 2003.
2) Fiutak puts stock into the Canes’ offensive line being improved and Cam Ward being awesome. It’s hard to argue with those things. Miami’s offensive line took a big leap forward last year and should be good again even with Javion Cohen and Matt Lee off to the NFL. Cam Ward gives you a home run threat from anywhere on the field with his arm or his legs. Add in Damien Martinez to go with Mark Fletcher, Jr. as a one-two punch out of the backfield, and yeah…..I’m pretty darned excited about what this offense – at least at its full potential – being good again.
3) My hold up is that I do not trust the in-game coaching to reach that mark, unfortunately. Yes, the Georgia Tech fiasco from last year continues to seep into my head from time to time. I am still ridiculously bothered by that game, which unquestionably has to be the most avoidable and stupid loss in the history of Miami Hurricanes football. The head coach literally cost the team a win. The head coach cannot anchor his team down again in 2024. Can’t happen. This team is good, but not good enough to overcome bad coaching. Call me harsh, I don’t care. I am wholly skeptical of the coaching on this team entering 2024 and will be until they can show me they’re better than they’ve been.
4) As such, if I had a gun to my head and had to pick over/under nine wins…..I would reluctantly pick the over and hope that Cristobal can avoid screwing it up. Fiutak – I think, anyways – messed up with their listing of sure wins and 50/50 games on the list at the bottom. There’s obviously no way that Ball State is a 50/50 game, as well as many of the other games on that list. I think Miami finds a way to get to 9 regular season wins against a soft slate, but even if they don’t and they’re 8-4, they’ve got a shot to earn me a push at 9 wins in a bowl game. A season that fails to see Miami reach nine wins would be the near the top of the most ridiculous failures in a twenty-first century that’s been loaded with them for UM.
5) Accordingly, I’m going to go with them reaching over that mark. A 9.5 number might give me pause, but a shot at a push at 9 wins gives me enough confidence to make that pick.
We’ll see if this ages like a fine wine or like milk on a Hialeah sidewalk in July by the time Thanksgiving rolls around.
Go Canes!
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The post Monday Musings: How many games will the Canes win in 2024? – State Of The U appeared first on Walipromotes.